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eStatcast

Ultimate Round Conversion

ULT%VALv0.1.0 · experimental · validated 2026-07-16

What it measures

How often rounds where this player used their ultimate ended in a round win.

Formal definition

Rounds won with an ultimate cast by the player ÷ rounds with an ultimate cast by the player.

Inputs

  • ability cast events (isUltimate)
  • round results

Exclusions

None beyond the standard confidence floor.

Sample & population

Minimum sample
15 ultimate rounds
Baseline population
Players in the same game/window; agent splits available
Direction
higher better
Unit
%

Percentile interpretation

Read with cast timing — economy-dumped ults deflate this.

Confidence = source confidence × model confidence. Values from baseline models are capped at 0.7. Below-minimum samples display the value grayed out with no percentile.

Example

12 of 19 rounds with a Blade Storm cast are won → 63.2%.

Known limitations

  • Attribution is round-level: teammates contribute to conversion
  • Not yet computed in the preview corpus — definition published ahead of engine support.

Change log

  • v0.1.0 · 2026-07-16Initial baseline release

→ Rank players by ULT%