Rainbow Six SiegeIronreach Siege Open
Jun 10, 10:19 AM · online · BO1
Box score
borderCobalt Nine
Harborvale
xDuel/Duel+/RWPA are MODEL from telemetry (model versions on hover in the glossary) — conventional columns carry their per-line source label.
Win probability
Cobalt Nine perspective · round_wp baseline modelRound-level model (round_wp, baseline). The probability resets each round; the line breaks at every round boundary. See the model card for calibration.
Round win probability for Cobalt Nine versus Harborvale across 8 rounds. Each round is shown separately because the probability resets every round. Below, the cumulative round differential ends at +2 for Cobalt Nine.
Round timeline
blue = defense-side win, orange = attack-side · ○ elim · ◆ objective · ◷ time
Hardest duels won
lowest pre-fight win probability, converted| Rnd | Winner | Victim | xDuel | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | zephren1 | yenren | 30% | r6_shotgun · opening · HS |
| 1 | briar | ravmir7 | 31% | r6_pistol |
| 8 | briash | sylil | 35% | r6_pistol |
| 8 | yenren | zephren1 | 36% | r6_pistol · opening |
| 6 | nalor | kalio | 40% | r6_pistol |
| 2 | sylil | zephren1 | 40% | r6_shotgun |
| 4 | kalio | ravmir7 | 43% | r6_shotgun · opening |
| 6 | droio1 | briar | 44% | r6_pistol · HS |
Data provenance
artifacts, parsers, models- Basic stats: synthetic_fixture SUBMITTED
- Parser: synthetic-sim@1
- Duel model: xduel_r6@0.1.0
- WP model: round_wp_cs2@0.1.0 (baseline — see model cards)
- Mean event confidence: 100.0%