Northlight Guild 13–8 Palegate Athletics — match analytics

Counter-Strike 2Northlight Invitational

May 15, 2:19 PM · online · BO1

Northlight Guildwinner

Palegate Athletics

coverage: full telemetry

285 events stored

Box score

de_nuke

Northlight Guild

Box score for Northlight Guild
Player	K	D	A	ADR	HS%	xDuel	Duel+	RWPA	Src
briash	18	13	1	99	67	0.54	8.4	1.56	SUBMITTED
naldak	17	15	2	89	59	0.56	7.5	1.94	SUBMITTED
mirek91	15	12	3	79	60	0.60	5.9	1.60	SUBMITTED
zephio1	14	12	2	72	43	0.58	5.9	2.54	SUBMITTED
kaldak	13	11	15	63	62	0.60	5.2	1.28	SUBMITTED

Palegate Athletics

Box score for Palegate Athletics
Player	K	D	A	ADR	HS%	xDuel	Duel+	RWPA	Src
nalys	20	13	19	104	40	0.62	7.5	1.78	SUBMITTED
fenek	14	14	1	68	36	0.55	6.3	1.29	SUBMITTED
briun70	12	15	1	65	42	0.54	5.6	1.45	SUBMITTED
yenmir	9	17	6	48	56	0.56	4.0	0.91	SUBMITTED
nalor	8	18	0	41	50	0.58	3.4	0.88	SUBMITTED

xDuel/Duel+/RWPA are MODEL from telemetry (model versions on hover in the glossary) — conventional columns carry their per-line source label.

Win probability

Northlight Guild perspective · round_wp baseline model

Round win probability Northlight Guildchance to win each round (resets each round)

Round-level model (round_wp, baseline). The probability resets each round; the line breaks at every round boundary. See the model card for calibration.

Round timeline

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blue = defense-side win, orange = attack-side · ○ elim · ◆ objective · ◷ time

Duel map

140 kills · schematic (original rendering)

Kill density (140 duels) — filter by player, side, or round for individual duels. Schematic grid, not a game radar.

Kills by map area
Area	Kills
A Site	18
B Site (lower)	20
Ramp	22
Outside	17

Hardest duels won

lowest pre-fight win probability, converted

Hardest duels won this segment
Rnd	Winner	Victim	xDuel	Context
12	briun70	kaldak	23%	m4a1_silencer · opening · HS
17	briun70	kaldak	25%	m4a1
16	naldak	nalor	28%	tec9 · HS
16	naldak	fenek	30%	p250 · opening · HS
20	nalor	naldak	31%	deagle · opening
8	briash	yenmir	34%	mac10
18	fenek	naldak	35%	ak47
11	briun70	kaldak	35%	ak47

Data provenance

artifacts, parsers, models

Basic stats: synthetic_fixture SUBMITTED
Parser: synthetic-sim@1
Duel model: xduel_cs2@0.1.0
WP model: round_wp_cs2@0.1.0 (baseline — see model cards)
Mean event confidence: 100.0%