Rainbow Six SiegeIronreach Siege Open
Jun 10, 11:19 AM · online · BO1
Box score
kafeVermilion Ark
Duskline Project
xDuel/Duel+/RWPA are MODEL from telemetry (model versions on hover in the glossary) — conventional columns carry their per-line source label.
Win probability
Vermilion Ark perspective · round_wp baseline modelRound-level model (round_wp, baseline). The probability resets each round; the line breaks at every round boundary. See the model card for calibration.
Round win probability for Vermilion Ark versus Duskline Project across 9 rounds. Each round is shown separately because the probability resets every round. Below, the cumulative round differential ends at +1 for Vermilion Ark.
Round timeline
blue = defense-side win, orange = attack-side · ○ elim · ◆ objective · ◷ time
Hardest duels won
lowest pre-fight win probability, converted| Rnd | Winner | Victim | xDuel | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | kalor72 | briurn40 | 26% | r6_shotgun · opening |
| 6 | kalor72 | briurn40 | 28% | r6_pistol · HS |
| 5 | paxar | yenorz | 31% | r6_smg · opening · HS |
| 3 | briurn40 | toril | 33% | r6_pistol · opening · HS |
| 6 | droys89 | ravil | 35% | r6_pistol |
| 6 | yenorz | ravmirx | 36% | r6_smg · opening · HS |
| 1 | toril | mirem4 | 38% | r6_smg |
| 9 | paxar | kalor72 | 39% | r6_shotgun · HS |
Data provenance
artifacts, parsers, models- Basic stats: synthetic_fixture SUBMITTED
- Parser: synthetic-sim@1
- Duel model: xduel_r6@0.1.0
- WP model: round_wp_cs2@0.1.0 (baseline — see model cards)
- Mean event confidence: 100.0%